Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.234411 0.273214 0.316131 0.367078 0.425869 0.491543 0.570435
2025-04-20 0.170559 0.222546 0.286425 0.370491 0.478012 0.610719 0.786744
2025-04-27 0.142417 0.201469 0.279679 0.390401 0.542638 0.744081 1.030297
2025-05-04 0.121270 0.183343 0.270761 0.402112 0.593622 0.861664 1.264127
2025-05-11 0.103747 0.166251 0.259125 0.406091 0.631528 0.962689 1.484064
2025-05-18 0.088869 0.150116 0.245635 0.403995 0.658216 1.048131 1.688449
2025-05-25 0.076339 0.135391 0.231694 0.398342 0.677251 1.122227 1.881560
2025-06-01 0.066661 0.123716 0.220706 0.395336 0.699066 1.201530 2.089708
2025-06-08 0.056999 0.110494 0.205113 0.382051 0.701266 1.247815 2.246663
2025-06-15 0.054422 0.109663 0.210874 0.406588 0.771262 1.414819 2.625868
2025-06-22 0.047138 0.098824 0.196988 0.393403 0.771581 1.459735 2.793577
2025-06-29 0.040819 0.088918 0.183495 0.379054 0.767624 1.495734 2.947472
2025-07-06 0.035442 0.080260 0.171531 0.366614 0.766707 1.538798 3.122406
2025-07-13 0.032333 0.075961 0.167807 0.370354 0.798312 1.647306 3.435413
2025-07-20 0.031015 0.075384 0.171691 0.390274 0.864923 1.830670 3.914567
2025-07-27 0.029113 0.073183 0.171775 0.401982 0.915499 1.986593 4.353329
2025-08-03 0.026822 0.069710 0.168569 0.405960 0.949722 2.111922 4.740511
2025-08-10 0.024372 0.065467 0.163030 0.403866 0.970073 2.209570 5.077681
2025-08-17 0.021977 0.060990 0.156345 0.398214 0.981589 2.288991 5.382550
2025-08-24 0.020004 0.057297 0.151058 0.395209 0.998801 2.382413 5.727313
2025-08-31 0.017704 0.052371 0.142063 0.381928 0.989930 2.415837 5.938458
2025-09-07 0.017501 0.053191 0.147780 0.406458 1.075993 2.676424 6.702229
2025-09-14 0.015563 0.048793 0.139319 0.393276 1.066437 2.710791 6.932775